Yunnan Yukun vs Sichuan Jiuniu — AI prediction
Result
Yunnan Yukun 4-3 Sichuan Jiuniu
Kick-off: 2026-07-26
Yunnan Yukun are strong home favourites despite inconsistent recent form (DDLWL). They lead the H2H convincingly 3-0 and boast superior attacking firepower via O. Maritu (13 goals) and Cleber (8 goals), plus a stronger league position (4th vs 10th). Sichuan Jiuniu are struggling: only 1 win in last 5, poor defensive record (−8 goal difference), and Wesley Moraes (8 goals) is their sole attacking outlet. Home advantage at Yuxi Plateau, combined with Yunnan's proven dominance in this fixture and attacking depth, favours a Yunnan win. BTTS is likely given both sides' recent goals-conceded patterns.
Key factors
- Yunnan Yukun 3-0 unbeaten vs Sichuan in H2H (all three recent meetings); Sichuan have never beaten them.
- O. Maritu (13 goals, 5 assists in 19 apps) is significantly more prolific than Sichuan's top scorer Wesley Moraes (8 goals, 3 assists).
- Sichuan's defensive weakness (−8 GD, 9 goals conceded in last 5) vs Yunnan's attacking volume (avg 20.25 shots in last 4 games).
- Yunnan 7 wins / 4 draws / 8 losses for season; Sichuan only 6 wins / 2 draws / 11 losses—significant gap in consistency.
- Recent H2H scores (3-4, 3-1, 3-4) all feature both teams scoring; BTTS odds 1.36 reflect this pattern.
- API bookmaker model favours Yunnan (45% home win probability) with strong H2H (100%) and Poisson support (76% home).
- Sichuan very poor away (L-L-L recent trend on road); Yunnan strong at home venue Yuxi Plateau.
Win probability
- Yunnan Yukun: 53%
- Draw: 29%
- Sichuan Jiuniu: 19%
Goals & scoring
- Over 2.5 goals: 64%
- Both teams to score: 68%
Recent form
Yunnan Yukun: DDLWL · Sichuan Jiuniu: DLWLL
Standings
- Yunnan Yukun: 4th in Chinese Super League, 25 pts
- Sichuan Jiuniu: 10th in Chinese Super League, 20 pts
Head-to-head
Yunnan Yukun 3 · Sichuan Jiuniu 0 · 0 draws
- 2026-04-12: Sichuan Jiuniu 3-4 Yunnan Yukun
- 2025-07-26: Yunnan Yukun 3-1 Sichuan Jiuniu
- 2025-03-28: Sichuan Jiuniu 3-4 Yunnan Yukun