Wuhan Three Towns vs Chongqing Tongliang Long — AI prediction
Kick-off: 2026-07-25
Wuhan Three Towns sit bottom of the league (16th, 11 pts from 18 matches) with only 2 clean sheets and a poor recent record (DWLL). Chongqing Tongliang Long are 2nd in the table (29 pts from 19) with a far superior goal differential (+2 vs −8) and solid recent form (WDDLW). Despite the bookmaker model heavily favouring Chongqing (45% draw, 45% away vs 10% home), the odds present value on the home side at 2.30. However, the underlying form and league position strongly support Chongqing's advantage on the road. J. Cádiz (13 goals in 18 apps) offers appeal for the home attack, but Chongqing's defensive solidity and league standing make them the most likely winners or a draw; backing a low-scoring outcome and away +0.25/-0.50 AH offers superior risk-reward.
Key factors
- Wuhan bottom of league (16th), 11 pts; Chongqing 2nd, 29 pts; -13 pt gap
- Chongqing unbeaten in last H2H (beat Wuhan 2–1 on 11 Apr 2026)
- Wuhan last 5: DWLL (1W, 4 non-wins); Chongqing last 5: WDDLW (2W, 3 non-losses)
- Wuhan xG last 3: 1.30 avg; Chongqing xG last 4: 0.67 avg — defensive solidity favours away
- Wuhan only 2 clean sheets all season; Chongqing goal diff +2, Wuhan −8
- Bookmaker H2H model: 0% Wuhan, 100% Chongqing (historical edge to away)
- Home odds 2.30 imply ≈43% win prob; actual form/league data suggests ≈30–35%
Win probability
- Wuhan Three Towns: 30%
- Draw: 33%
- Chongqing Tongliang Long: 37%
Recent form
Wuhan Three Towns: DWLL · Chongqing Tongliang Long: WDDLW
Standings
- Wuhan Three Towns: 16th in Chinese Super League, 11 pts
- Chongqing Tongliang Long: 2nd in Chinese Super League, 29 pts
Head-to-head
Wuhan Three Towns 0 · Chongqing Tongliang Long 1 · 0 draws
- 2026-04-11: Chongqing Tongliang Long 2-1 Wuhan Three Towns