USA vs Bosnia & Herzegovina — AI prediction

Result

USA 2-0 Bosnia & Herzegovina

Kick-off: 2026-07-02

USA are firm favourites at home in this knockout tie, having won three of their last five (12 goals in five games, 1.54 xG per match) and boasting far more attacking output than Bosnia. Pochettino fields a strong XI led by Balogun, Pulišić and McKennie, with only Roldan out. Bosnia have drawn three of their last five, average just 0.62 xG and were thumped 1-4 by Switzerland; H2H (USA won 1, drew 1, no BiH win) also favours the hosts. Expect a comfortable USA win, though Bosnia carry a scoring threat through Džeko.

Key factors

• USA form LWWLW with 12 goals in 5, recent xG 1.54 vs Bosnia's 0.62
• Bosnia low-scoring: WLDDD, three straight draws, only 6 goals for
• USA full-strength XI (Balogun, Pulišić, McKennie); only Roldan out
• H2H: USA 1 win, 1 draw, no Bosnia win
• API model backs USA and +1.5 goals; Poisson 91% home
• Bosnia's Švajcarija 1-4 loss shows defensive fragility vs quality attack

Win probability

• USA: 72%
• Draw: 19%
• Bosnia & Herzegovina: 10%

Goals & scoring

• Over 2.5 goals: 56%
• Both teams to score: 48%

Recent form

USA: LWWLW · Bosnia & Herzegovina: WLDDD

Standings

• USA: 1st in Group D, 6 pts
• Bosnia & Herzegovina: 3rd in Group B, 4 pts

Head-to-head

USA 1 · Bosnia & Herzegovina 0 · 1 draws

• 2021-12-19: USA 1-0 Bosnia & Herzegovina
• 2018-01-29: USA 0-0 Bosnia & Herzegovina