Universitatea Craiova vs Levski Sofia — AI prediction

Result

Universitatea Craiova 2-2 Levski Sofia

Kick-off: 2026-07-29

Universitatea Craiova holds a modest home advantage and UEFA ranking edge (21 vs 28), but face a critical obstacle: Levski Sofia just beat them 1–0 six days ago, demonstrating superior form on the pitch. Both sides are unbeaten in pre-season, but Levski's recent form (3 wins in last 5) and stronger attacking metrics (55% attack rating, 12 shots on target in last outing) outweigh Craiova's home venue. The API model flags Levski as slight favourite and warns of low-scoring patterns; a draw appears underpriced at 3.35, offering value against the recent head-to-head and form differential.

Key factors

• Levski Sofia beat Universitatea Craiova 1-0 on 2026-07-22 (six days before this match) — recent, direct evidence of superiority.
• Levski's last 5: WWDWD (3 wins, 2 non-losses); Craiova's: WWDWW (3 wins but includes only friendly opposition). Levski has played tougher competition (Borac Banja Luka, Radnik Surdulica).
• Attack & Defence: API model rates Levski +10% on attack, +34% on defence. Levski conceded 3 goals in 5 games; Craiova conceded 5 in 5.
• H2H: Levski 1-0 win in reverse fixture. H2H rating: Levski 100% vs Craiova 0%.
• UEFA ranking: Craiova 21 (better) vs Levski 28 (weaker), but coefficient gap (6.5 vs 4.5) is modest and does not offset recent form.
• This is an early-stage UEFA Champions League qualifying tie (pre-group), historically upset-prone — but the upset here runs against the favourite, not for it.
• Lineups unavailable; no confirmed injuries for either side.
• Both sides currently unbeaten in season, but Craiova 2 games, Levski 2 games — limited data. Levski's last-5 is longer and stronger.

Win probability

• Universitatea Craiova: 29%
• Draw: 33%
• Levski Sofia: 38%

Recent form

Universitatea Craiova: WWDWW · Levski Sofia: WWDWD

Head-to-head

Universitatea Craiova 0 · Levski Sofia 1 · 0 draws

• 2026-07-22: Levski Sofia 1-0 Universitatea Craiova