SV Elversberg vs Bayern München — AI prediction

Result

SV Elversberg 1-2 Bayern München

Kick-off: 2026-09-13

Bayern München are overwhelming favourites and rightly so: they lead 68.25% possession, 18.75 shots per game, and 7.25 on target in recent outings, versus Elversberg's 47.67% and 7.33 on target. Bayern have won four of their last five (DWWWW), scoring 15 goals in that span with only one draw (0–0 vs Schalke on 5 Sept). Elversberg sit 4th in the league on 6 points from two wins, but face a step up in class; Bayern are 6th with 4 points in two matches and will be eager to bounce back after that stalemate. Bayern's defensive record (only 5 goals conceded in five recent games) and xG dominance (avg 3.0 vs Elversberg's 1.79) suggest a comfortable away win. T. Buchmann (knee) is out for Bayern; S. Gnabry is questionable. Elversberg lose L. Seifert and T. Zimmerschied to injury. Odds of 1.17 for Bayern away reflect the gap.

Key factors

  • Bayern München: 68.25% avg possession, 18.75 shots/game (7.25 on target), xG 3.0; Elversberg 47.67% possession, 13.33 shots/game (7.33 on target), xG 1.79.
  • Bayern recent form: DWWWW (4 wins in 5), 15 goals in 5 games, only 5 goals conceded; Elversberg WWWWD, strong domestically but unproven vs elite.
  • Defensive contrast: Bayern concede 1 goal per 5 recent matches; Elversberg 8 goals in 5, and 5 in their 2 Bundesliga games (no clean sheets).
  • Bayern squad depth: T. Buchmann (knee injury) confirmed out; S. Gnabry questionable. Elversberg missing L. Seifert (ankle) and T. Zimmerschied (back), both confirmed.
  • League context: Elversberg sit 4th (6 pts from 2 games), Bayern 6th (4 pts from 2); Bayern typically reassert control in established Bundesliga play.
  • Odds (1.17 Bayern away) imply ~85% win probability; xG and possession gaps support closer to 80–82%.

Win probability

  • SV Elversberg: 6%
  • Draw: 13%
  • Bayern München: 81%

Goals & scoring

  • Over 2.5 goals: 70%
  • Both teams to score: 49%

Recent form

SV Elversberg: WWWWD · Bayern München: DWWWW

Standings

  • SV Elversberg: 4th in Bundesliga, 6 pts
  • Bayern München: 6th in Bundesliga, 4 pts

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