Spain vs Austria — AI prediction

Result

Spain 3-0 Austria

Kick-off: 2026-07-02

Spain top Group H (WWDWD, 9 scored, 2 conceded) with dominant metrics — 68.5% possession and 1.75 xG per game — and shut out both Uruguay and Saudi Arabia recently. Austria (DLWW) reached the knockouts but leak goals, shipping 6 in the group including a 3-3 with Algeria and 0-2 to Argentina, with just 3.0 shots on target per game. The gulf in quality points to a comfortable Spain win, though Austria's porous defence keeps a BTTS/over path alive. Spain's clean-sheet strength narrowly favours goals staying manageable.

Key factors

• Spain unbeaten in last 5: 9 goals for, only 2 against, two clean sheets
• Spain averaging 68.5% possession and 1.75 xG in recent games
• Austria conceded 6 in group play, including 3-3 vs Algeria
• Oyarzabal (2 goals, 1 assist in 3 apps) leads a deep Spanish attack
• No injuries reported for either side
• API model backs Spain but rates defence 100-0 in Spain's favour

Win probability

• Spain: 78%
• Draw: 16%
• Austria: 6%

Goals & scoring

• Over 2.5 goals: 55%
• Both teams to score: 43%

Recent form

Spain: WWDWD · Austria: DLWW

Standings

• Spain: 1st in Group H, 7 pts
• Austria: 2nd in Group J, 4 pts