SHANGHAI SIPG vs Shanghai Shenhua — AI prediction
Kick-off: 2026-07-25
Shanghai Shenhua arrive in strong form (11 goals in last 5, 4 wins in last 5) and hold a commanding 5-2 head-to-head edge over SHANGHAI SIPG at home. Rafael Ratão (13 goals, 18 apps) leads a potent attack, and Shenhua's recent shot volume (15 per game, 6.33 on target) significantly outpaces SIPG's sluggish metrics (8.33 shots, 4.33 on target). SIPG sits 13th in the league with 2 clean sheets in 18 games and have drawn 2 of last 4, while Shenhua are 11th with superior goal difference (+7 vs +2) and clinical finishing. The API model flags Shenhua as favourite (45% away win implied) and recommends double-chance; the bookmaker odds (away 2.70, home 2.40) undervalue the form disparity.
Key factors
- Shenhua's last-5 record: WLWW (11 GF, 6 GA) vs SIPG's DDLW (6 GF, 6 GA) — form advantage to away side
- Head-to-head: Shenhua 5 wins, SIPG 3 wins, 2 draws; Shenhua won 1-0 most recently (2026-04-11)
- Rafael Ratão 13 goals in 18 apps, anchors Shenhua attack; SIPG's key players not named in data
- Shot creation: Shenhua average 15 shots, 6.33 on target (last 3); SIPG 8.33, 4.33 — clear offensive edge
- League position: Shenhua 11th (8W-5D-5L, +7 GD), SIPG 13th (5W-6D-7L, +2 GD)
- SIPG clean sheets: 2 in 18 games (11%) vs Shenhua 3 in 18 (17%); both weak defensively but Shenhua more potent
- No injuries reported for either side; lineups unavailable
- API prediction: 45% Shenhua win, 45% draw, 10% SIPG win; recommends double-chance (draw or Shenhua)
Win probability
- SHANGHAI SIPG: 22%
- Draw: 34%
- Shanghai Shenhua: 45%
Goals & scoring
- Both teams to score: 62%
Recent form
SHANGHAI SIPG: DDLW · Shanghai Shenhua: WLWW
Standings
- SHANGHAI SIPG: 13th in Chinese Super League, 16 pts
- Shanghai Shenhua: 11th in Chinese Super League, 19 pts
Head-to-head
SHANGHAI SIPG 3 · Shanghai Shenhua 5 · 2 draws
- 2026-04-11: Shanghai Shenhua 1-0 SHANGHAI SIPG
- 2025-08-09: Shanghai Shenhua 1-2 SHANGHAI SIPG
- 2025-06-22: SHANGHAI SIPG 2-3 Shanghai Shenhua
- 2025-04-06: SHANGHAI SIPG 1-1 Shanghai Shenhua
- 2025-02-07: SHANGHAI SIPG 2-3 Shanghai Shenhua