SC Freiburg vs Borussia Mönchengladbach — AI prediction

Result

SC Freiburg 5-0 Borussia Mönchengladbach

Kick-off: 2026-09-12

SC Freiburg are in dominant early-season form—5 straight wins, 17 goals in their last 5 matches, sitting 2nd in Bundesliga after two games with 2W-0L and a +4 goal difference. Borussia Mönchengladbach have collapsed: 0 points from 2 games, 0W-2L, -4 GD, and arrive severely injury-hit (6 players out including N. Kuhn, E. Leopold, Y. Konoplya). Head-to-head strongly favours Freiburg (5W-0L-5D at home in recent meetings, most recent 2-1 win in Feb 2026). The API model backs Freiburg at 50% win probability with Form, Attack, Defence, H2H, and Poisson all decisively favouring the home side. Freiburg are the clear choice.

Key factors

  • SC Freiburg: 5-match winning streak, 17 goals scored, 4 conceded; 2W-0L in league with +4 GD and 1 clean sheet
  • Borussia Mönchengladbach: 0 points from 2 Bundesliga matches, 2L-0W, -4 GD, 3 goals scored, 7 conceded; 6 players missing (Kuhn, Leopold, Konoplya, Castrop, Hashioka, Uno)
  • Head-to-head: Freiburg 5W-0L-5D vs Mönchengladbach at home; most recent fixture 2-1 to Freiburg (Feb 2026)
  • Home advantage at Europa-Park Stadion; no injuries for Freiburg
  • API prediction: 80.3% total edge to Freiburg; Form 100%-0%, Defence 88%-13%, H2H 93%-7%
  • Key attacking threat: Y. Suzuki (3 goals in 2 appearances for Freiburg); Mönchengladbach's H. Bolin (2 goals in 2) outmatched by Freiburg defence

Win probability

  • SC Freiburg: 64%
  • Draw: 23%
  • Borussia Mönchengladbach: 14%

Goals & scoring

  • Over 2.5 goals: 55%
  • Both teams to score: 47%

Recent form

SC Freiburg: WWWWW · Borussia Mönchengladbach: LLWWW

Standings

  • SC Freiburg: 2nd in Bundesliga, 6 pts
  • Borussia Mönchengladbach: 17th in Bundesliga, 0 pts

Head-to-head

SC Freiburg 5 · Borussia Mönchengladbach 0 · 5 draws

  • 2026-02-22: SC Freiburg 2-1 Borussia Mönchengladbach
  • 2025-10-05: Borussia Mönchengladbach 0-0 SC Freiburg
  • 2025-04-12: Borussia Mönchengladbach 1-2 SC Freiburg
  • 2024-11-30: SC Freiburg 3-1 Borussia Mönchengladbach
  • 2024-03-30: Borussia Monchengladbach 0-3 SC Freiburg

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