Real Sociedad vs Celta Vigo — AI prediction

Result

Real Sociedad 0-0 Celta Vigo

Kick-off: 2026-09-03

Real Sociedad are marginally favoured at home despite a poor opening to their La Liga season (1W-2L, -3 goal differential). Celta Vigo are in even worse form (0W-1D-2L) and have scored only 1 goal in 3 league games. Real Sociedad's 5-2 head-to-head record at Anoeta provides home comfort, but injury concerns to Odriozola (definite out), Fort and Marin (both questionable) weaken their structure. The bookmaker model prices in moderate form advantage to Sociedad (45% home, 45% draw) and prefers the double chance, which aligns with a volatile, tight match. Home venue and recent H2H edge support a slight Real Sociedad lean, but both sides are undercooked, making draw a genuine risk.

Key factors

• Real Sociedad: 1W-2L start, -3 GD; Celta Vigo: 0W-1D-2L, only 1 league goal scored this season.
• Real Sociedad beat Celta 3-1 in Jan 2026 and hold 5-2 H2H edge at Anoeta; however, recent away trips (0-1 vs Betis, 1-4 vs Madrid) show defensive fragility.
• Odriozola out (knee); Fort and Marin questionable—Real Sociedad's defensive depth compromised. Celta missing Iglesias (questionable, muscle injury).
• Celta's attacking output critical: 2 failed-to-score games in last 3, only 5 shots in last two. Real Sociedad xG 1.25 recent but low conversion.
• Home advantage modest; both sides in early-season transition. Bookmaker leans draw (45%) equal to home win (45%), suggesting high uncertainty.

Win probability

• Real Sociedad: 45%
• Draw: 37%
• Celta Vigo: 18%

Recent form

Real Sociedad: WLLLL · Celta Vigo: LLDDW

Standings

• Real Sociedad: 14th in La Liga, 3 pts
• Celta Vigo: 18th in La Liga, 1 pts

Head-to-head

Real Sociedad 5 · Celta Vigo 2 · 3 draws

• 2026-01-25: Real Sociedad 3-1 Celta Vigo
• 2025-10-19: Celta Vigo 1-1 Real Sociedad
• 2025-05-13: Real Sociedad 0-1 Celta Vigo
• 2024-12-21: Celta Vigo 2-0 Real Sociedad
• 2024-01-23: Celta Vigo 1-2 Real Sociedad