Real Betis vs Getafe — AI prediction

Kick-off: 2026-09-17

Real Betis dominate on recent form—four wins in five (WWWLW), 9 goals in last five games, sitting 3rd in La Liga with 12 points—while Getafe struggles at 14th with just one win in five (DDLLW), 4 goals, and 1 goal conceded per game. Head-to-head favours Betis 5–2–3, including a 4–0 home win in December 2025. Injuries touch both sides but Getafe's missing key defenders (Femenia, Uche) and striker Juanmi compounds their attacking anaemia (avg 0.9 xG in recent games). Bookmaker consensus (Betis 45%, draw 45%) leans conservatively, but Betis' actual edge—superior form, shooting volume (18.2 vs 12.67 shots per game), clean sheets (3 vs 1)—and home venue support a home win at 1.67 odds.

Key factors

• Betis 4W–1L in last 5 vs Getafe 1W–2L–2D; Betis 12 pts (3rd) vs Getafe 5 pts (14th)
• Betis avg 18.2 shots, 6.2 on target per game; Getafe 12.67 shots, 2.0 on target (xG 0.9)
• Betis 3 clean sheets in 5 games; Getafe 1 clean sheet in 5, conceded 6 goals
• H2H: Betis 5 wins, Getafe 2; Betis 4–0 home in Dec 2025, 2–1 home Sep 2024
• Getafe missing Femenia (hamstring), Uche (knee), Juanmi (injury); Betis missing Ruibal (knee), Llorente (broken nose), Morante (coach's decision)
• Benito Villamarín home advantage; Rodrigo Riquelme (2 goals, 4 appearances) in form for Betis
• Bookmaker odd 1.67 implies ~60% Betis; actual form/metrics support ~65–70%

Win probability

• Real Betis: 64%
• Draw: 23%
• Getafe: 13%

Goals & scoring

• Over 2.5 goals: 44%
• Both teams to score: 47%

Recent form

Real Betis: WWWLW · Getafe: DDLLW

Standings

• Real Betis: 3rd in La Liga, 12 pts
• Getafe: 14th in La Liga, 5 pts

Head-to-head

Real Betis 5 · Getafe 2 · 3 draws

• 2026-03-08: Getafe 2-0 Real Betis
• 2025-12-21: Real Betis 4-0 Getafe
• 2025-02-23: Getafe 1-2 Real Betis
• 2024-09-18: Real Betis 2-1 Getafe
• 2024-02-04: Real Betis 1-1 Getafe