RB Bragantino vs Coritiba — AI prediction
Kick-off: 2026-07-26
RB Bragantino (5th, 30 pts, +6 GD) are clear favourites despite heavy injuries to key defenders (Fabinho, Fabricio, Vanderlan out). Their squad value of €99.35M vastly exceeds Coritiba's €43.23M. Bragantino's last-5 form is DDWWW with 8 goals in 5 games; they've won 3 of their last 4 at home. Coritiba (10th, 26 pts, –2 GD) arrive in worse shape: LLWWL in last-5, just 7 goals in 5 games, and lost 1–3 at home to Palmeiras four days ago. I. Pitta is Bragantino's only confirmed attacking option, but the hosts' offensive pattern and home form support a home win despite defensive absences.
Key factors
- Squad market value gap: Bragantino €99.35M vs Coritiba €43.23M — decisive structural advantage.
- RB Bragantino 4 wins in last 5 at home (W vs Internacional 3–1, W vs Carabobo 2–0, W vs Atletico 2–1); Coritiba 1 win in last 5 away and declining form (losses to Palmeiras, Flamengo).
- Bragantino injuries (Fabinho, Fabricio, Vanderlan, two red-card suspensions) hit defence but not attack; I. Pitta (6 goals, 17 apps) likely available. Coritiba lose Rodrigo Rodrigues (ankle) — midfielder depth compromised.
- Coritiba conceded 10 goals in 5 games; Bragantino scored 26 in 19 league matches (1.37/game). Goal-scoring disparity is stark.
- Head-to-head data unavailable; league standings (Bragantino 5th vs Coritiba 10th) and goal difference (+6 vs –2) corroborate home advantage.
- BTTS at 1.95 is worth monitoring given Bragantino's defensive vulnerabilities and Coritiba's Breno Lopes (8 goals, 16 apps) threat, but home win is primary signal.
Win probability
- RB Bragantino: 61%
- Draw: 23%
- Coritiba: 16%
Goals & scoring
- Over 2.5 goals: 52%
- Both teams to score: 48%
Recent form
RB Bragantino: DDWWW · Coritiba: LLWWL
Standings
- RB Bragantino: 5th in Serie A, 30 pts
- Coritiba: 10th in Serie A, 26 pts