Rapid Vienna vs Heart Of Midlothian — AI prediction

Result

Rapid Vienna 2-2 Heart Of Midlothian

Kick-off: 2026-08-26

Rapid Vienna enters this Europa Conference League knockout tie as clear favourites: they've won four of their last five (4W-1D-0L), scoring 18 goals in that run and conceding just 4, with clinical finishing (E. Kara and Moulaye Haïdara each 3 goals). They lead Heart Of Midlothian decisively on UEFA coefficient (32.25 vs 8.0) and domestic league rank (Austria 20th vs Scotland 19th—marginally, but Rapid's league is more competitive). Heart, by contrast, drew 2-2 away four days ago (having just 39% possession) and carry patchy form (D-W-D-W-L across last five), averaging just 4.3 shots on target per game. However, the recent meeting showed Heart can score—they drew 2-2—and knockout football is volatile; Rapid's defence (25% defensive strength in API model, 4 GA in 5 games) is markedly their weak point. Home advantage at the Allianz and Rapid's superior form and firepower support them, but a draw is plausible.

Key factors

  • Rapid Vienna: 4 wins in last 5 (4W-1D-0L), 18 GF / 4 GA, 65% possession average, clinical finishing (Kara 3 goals, Haïdara 3 goals in 3-5 appearances)
  • Heart Of Midlothian: mixed form (1W-2D-2L in last 5), 14 GF / 11 GA, low possession (38% avg), only 4.33 SOT per game; just drew 2-2 away at Rapid four days ago
  • UEFA strength gap: Rapid coefficient 32.25 vs Heart 8.0; Austria league rank 20 vs Scotland 19 (Rapid's league stronger)
  • H2H: 1 draw (2-2 on 2026-08-20); no prior wins either side
  • Rapid's defensive fragility (1 clean sheet in 5 games, API Defence rating 25%) creates draw/goals risk despite dominant form
  • Knockout stage (90-min regulation only); neutral venue not applicable (Allianz Stadion home)

Win probability

  • Rapid Vienna: 55%
  • Draw: 28%
  • Heart Of Midlothian: 17%

Goals & scoring

  • Both teams to score: 57%

Recent form

Rapid Vienna: DWWWW · Heart Of Midlothian: DWDWL

Head-to-head

Rapid Vienna 0 · Heart Of Midlothian 0 · 1 draws

  • 2026-08-20: Heart Of Midlothian 2-2 Rapid Vienna

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