Raków Częstochowa vs Wisla Plock — AI prediction

Kick-off: 2026-07-26

Wisła Płock enters as the clear form favourite, unbeaten in last 5 (WWWD, 10 goals for, 4 against) against a Raków side struggling badly (DLLLW, 9 goals for, 10 against). Head-to-head is tight (4–4–1), but Wisła won both recent meetings decisively (2–1 in Feb 2026, 2–1 in July 2025). The bookmaker model leans slightly away despite offering 10 % home win, reflecting Wisła's superior recent form and defensive solidity. Home advantage is modest; form dominates.

Key factors

• Wisła Płock: 3 wins in last 4 (W–W–W–D), strong attack (10 goals in 4 recent games), tight defence (4 goals conceded)
• Raków Człęstochowa: 1 win in 5 (L–L–L–D–W), defensive fragility (10 goals conceded vs 9 scored)
• Head-to-head: Wisła 4 wins, Raków 4 wins, 1 draw; Wisła won both 2025–26 meetings (2–1, 2–1)
• No injuries reported for either side; lineups not yet available
• Bookmaker model: 45 % draw, 45 % away, 10 % home; own analysis favours away on form
• Neutral venue context: season opener (no seasonal stats); form metrics and recent results are primary signals

Win probability

• Raków Częstochowa: 31%
• Draw: 30%
• Wisla Plock: 40%

Goals & scoring

• Over 2.5 goals: 54%
• Both teams to score: 53%

Recent form

Raków Częstochowa: DLLLW · Wisla Plock: WWWD

Standings

• Raków Częstochowa: 17th in Ekstraklasa, 0 pts
• Wisla Plock: 8th in Ekstraklasa, 0 pts

Head-to-head

Raków Częstochowa 4 · Wisla Plock 4 · 1 draws

• 2026-02-01: Wisla Plock 2-1 Raków Częstochowa
• 2025-07-27: Raków Częstochowa 1-2 Wisla Plock
• 2023-05-21: Wisla Plock 1-2 Raków Częstochowa
• 2022-11-05: Raków Częstochowa 7-1 Wisla Plock
• 2022-07-01: Wisla Plock 3-0 Raków Częstochowa