Qingdao Jonoon vs Tianjin Teda — AI prediction
Kick-off: 2026-07-25
Qingdao Jonoon are in freefall (LLLDW, 0 wins in last 4), conceding 15 goals in 5 recent matches, while Tianjin Teda have won their last two (6 goals, 2 conceded). The API model rates Tianjin 57% vs 43%, citing superior form (71% vs 29%) and dominant defence (88% vs 13%). Tianjin's Alberto Quiles (7 goals, 18 apps) leads the attack. Home venue provides modest support, but the form gap and defensive disparity strongly favour the away side.
Key factors
- Qingdao collapse: 3 losses in last 4 matches; conceded 15 goals in 5 recent outings
- Tianjin momentum: won last 2 matches (6 goals, 2 conceded); Alberto Quiles in form (7 goals, 3 assists)
- Defensive stark contrast: Tianjin 88% defensive rating vs Qingdao 13% (API model); Qingdao 2 clean sheets all season
- League table: Qingdao 14th (14 pts, -6 GD), Tianjin 15th (11 pts, +2 GD) — Tianjin narrowly behind but significantly outperforming in recent form
- API prediction favours Tianjin 57% (Poisson 52%, Form 71%); Double Chance (Home/Draw) recommended by model but form data contradicts this
Win probability
- Qingdao Jonoon: 33%
- Draw: 27%
- Tianjin Teda: 40%
Goals & scoring
- Over 2.5 goals: 44%
- Both teams to score: 48%
Recent form
Qingdao Jonoon: LLLDW · Tianjin Teda: WWLD
Standings
- Qingdao Jonoon: 14th in Chinese Super League, 14 pts
- Tianjin Teda: 15th in Chinese Super League, 11 pts