Qarabag vs Dynamo Kyiv — AI prediction

Result

Qarabag 2-0 Dynamo Kyiv

Kick-off: 2026-08-13

Dynamo Kyiv arrives as the clear favourite after beating Qarabag 1-0 at home just one week ago (08-06). Despite Qarabag's UEFA coefficient edge (32.0 vs 23.5) and home venue, Dynamo's recent form is superior: they won 2 of their last 5 (including that head-to-head), while Qarabag has just lost to Dynamo and drawn twice with CSKA Sofia. Critically, Dynamo's last-5 shows 100% form and attacking efficiency; Qarabag managed only 2 shots on target in their defeat and failed to score. The API model also rates Dynamo 50% away vs 0% home, reinforcing the away side's dominance despite home advantage being present.

Key factors

• Dynamo Kyiv beat Qarabag 1-0 at home on 2026-08-06, just 7 days before this fixture.
• Qarabag's last-5 record is LDDWW (1 loss to Dynamo, 2 draws with CSKA); only 2 shots on target in the defeat.
• Dynamo's last-5 record is WWLLD; won 2 recent contests and scored 5 goals in last 4 games.
• UEFA coefficient favours Qarabag (32.0 vs 23.5) but on-pitch form and H2H momentum strongly back Dynamo.
• Qarabag managed only 61% possession in their loss despite home-advantage precedent; Dynamo clinical on the counter.
• Both teams injury-free; no lineup data yet but no absentee flag raises red flags for either side.

Win probability

• Qarabag: 38%
• Draw: 19%
• Dynamo Kyiv: 42%

Goals & scoring

• Over 2.5 goals: 48%
• Both teams to score: 46%

Recent form

Qarabag: LDDWW · Dynamo Kyiv: WWLLD

Head-to-head

Qarabag 0 · Dynamo Kyiv 1 · 0 draws

• 2026-08-06: Dynamo Kyiv 1-0 Qarabag