Pogon Szczecin vs Legia Warszawa — AI prediction
Kick-off: 2026-07-24
Legia arrive in far superior pre-season form (LWWWW, 9 goals scored) versus a Pogon side that has shipped 8 in their last 5 and lost three of those games. H2H also skews Legia's way in recent meetings — they won at Szczecin in April 2026 (0-2) and have the better H2H record over the last six fixtures. The api_prediction's H2H/Goals comparison (Legia 66.5% total) corroborates this read. Pogon's two wins came against lower-tier opposition, so Legia's quality edge looks decisive.
Key factors
- Legia last-5 form: LWWWW, 9 goals for vs 5 against — strong attacking momentum.
- Pogon last-5 form: LLWLW, only 5 goals for vs 8 against — leaky defence and inconsistent attack.
- Most recent H2H (Apr 2026): Pogon 0-2 Legia at this exact venue.
- H2H record over last 6: Legia 3W-1D-2L, with 3 of last 4 going to Legia or draw.
- Pogon's two wins came vs Chrobry Głogów (3rd tier) and BFC Dynamo — low quality opponents.
- Legia's losses in pre-season were to Aris (Europa) — higher calibre opposition; core form solid.
- No injury data available for either side — a mild uncertainty.
- Season standings show 0 played — this is essentially round 1, so no league form to weight.
- BTTS: 4 of last 6 H2H had both teams scoring; Pogon defence fragile but capable of scoring.
- Goals market: last 6 H2H averaged ~3.2 goals/game; over 2.5 looks viable.
Win probability
- Pogon Szczecin: 31%
- Draw: 26%
- Legia Warszawa: 43%
Goals & scoring
- Over 2.5 goals: 52%
- Both teams to score: 57%
Recent form
Pogon Szczecin: LLWLW · Legia Warszawa: LWWWW
Standings
- Pogon Szczecin: 9th in Ekstraklasa, 0 pts
- Legia Warszawa: 11th in Ekstraklasa, 0 pts
Head-to-head
Pogon Szczecin 3 · Legia Warszawa 4 · 3 draws
- 2026-04-06: Pogon Szczecin 0-2 Legia Warszawa
- 2025-10-30: Legia Warszawa 1-2 Pogon Szczecin
- 2025-09-28: Legia Warszawa 1-0 Pogon Szczecin
- 2025-05-02: Pogon Szczecin 3-4 Legia Warszawa
- 2025-03-28: Legia Warszawa 0-0 Pogon Szczecin