Paraguay vs France — AI prediction

Result

Paraguay 0-1 France

Kick-off: 2026-07-04

France are heavy favourites and it's easy to see why: they topped Group I with a +8 GD, won four of their last five (14 scored, 5 conceded) and average 18 shots, 6.6 on target and ~1.9 xG per game. Mbappé (4 goals, 2 assists) and Dembélé (4 goals) headline a rampant attack. Paraguay scraped through as a third-placed side with -2 GD, poor xG (0.37 recent) and just 34.5% possession, and the only H2H was a 5-0 France rout. Expect France control and goals.

Key factors

• France last5 WWWWL vs Paraguay DWLWL; France +8 GD group winners
• France attack averaging 18 shots, 6.6 SOT, ~1.9 xG; Paraguay 0.37 recent xG
• Mbappé 4G/2A and Dembélé 4G in 3 apps lead France
• Paraguay concede readily (1-4 vs USA, 1-2 Morocco); low home scoring threat
• H2H: France 5-0 Paraguay (2017)
• Neutral venue — home advantage nominal for Paraguay

Win probability

• Paraguay: 5%
• Draw: 13%
• France: 82%

Goals & scoring

• Both teams to score: 38%

Recent form

Paraguay: DWLWL · France: WWWWL

Standings

• Paraguay: 3rd in Group D, 4 pts
• France: 1st in Group I, 9 pts

Head-to-head

Paraguay 0 · France 1 · 0 draws

• 2017-06-02: France 5-0 Paraguay