Osasuna vs Getafe — AI prediction
Result
Osasuna 1-0 Getafe
Kick-off: 2026-08-31
Osasuna host Getafe in a La Liga matchup where recent domestic form slightly favours the home side. Osasuna are 8th with 2 league games played (1W, 1D, 0L; 2 goals for, 1 against), having won at Celta Vigo (2–1) before drawing at home to Levante (0–0). Getafe sit 13th (1W, 0D, 1L in league play; 1 for, 3 against), arriving on the back of a 1–2 away defeat to FK Partizan. Head-to-head shows Getafe leading 6 wins to 2, with 2 draws, but Osasuna won their most recent home fixture 2–1 in October 2025. Getafe's attacking resources are significantly weakened: Juanmi and C. Uche are confirmed missing (both out through injury), while Osasuna have only a questionable V. Rosier on the injury list. The API model slightly favours a draw (45%), but Osasuna's 59.8% aggregate strength rating and clear defensive advantage (75% vs 25%) support home backing despite Getafe's historical edge. Low-scoring patterns emerge: both sides have conceded heavily in early fixtures, and recent league form (Osasuna 0–0 v Levante) suggests caution on overs.
Key factors
- Osasuna 1W–1D (league only); Getafe 1W–1L—home side has marginally better current form.
- Getafe missing both Juanmi and C. Uche (confirmed injuries); Osasuna's only doubt is Rosier (hamstring, questionable)—attacking depth heavily favours home.
- Head-to-head: Getafe 6 wins, Osasuna 2 (+ 2 draws), but Osasuna won last home fixture 2–1 (Oct 2025).
- API model: Osasuna 59.8% strength (Defence 75%, Attack 67%); Getafe 40.2% (Defence 25%, Attack 33%).
- Home advantage at El Sadar applies; low-scoring risk evident (recent 0–0, heavy conceding by both in pre-season).
- Betting odds: Osasuna 2.18 (home), Draw 2.88, Getafe 3.80 (away)—market already favours home, modest value on draw at 2.88.
Win probability
- Osasuna: 46%
- Draw: 35%
- Getafe: 18%
Goals & scoring
- Over 2.5 goals: 37%
- Both teams to score: 42%
Recent form
Osasuna: WDLLW · Getafe: LWWLD
Standings
- Osasuna: 8th in La Liga, 4 pts
- Getafe: 13th in La Liga, 3 pts
Head-to-head
Osasuna 2 · Getafe 6 · 2 draws
- 2026-05-23: Getafe 1-0 Osasuna
- 2025-10-03: Osasuna 2-1 Getafe
- 2025-03-16: Osasuna 1-2 Getafe
- 2024-10-05: Getafe 1-1 Osasuna
- 2024-01-21: Osasuna 3-2 Getafe