NSI Runavik vs Koper — AI prediction
Kick-off: 2026-07-23
Koper arrive in better attacking shape (9 goals in last 5, back-to-back wins over Nafta and MTK Budapest) against a NSI Runavik side that has scored only 8 and conceded 5 in a modest Faroese-league schedule. The market correctly prices Koper as favourites (~49% implied from 2.04), and the API comparison's 'Form 100% home' signal is contradicted by Koper's stronger recent opposition and goal output. NSI's home advantage in a Conference League qualifier context is modest. The line-ups, H2H, and player data are all absent, so confidence is limited to market and form signals only.
Key factors
- Koper last-5: WWLLW, 9 goals scored, back-to-back wins vs Nafta (2-0 A) and MTK Budapest (3-1 A) showing strong away attacking form.
- NSI last-5: WDDDW, 8 goals scored but 5 conceded; only one clean sheet avoided in recent games, scoring only 3 in 2 competitive season matches.
- No head-to-head data available — cannot weight historical meetings.
- No lineups or player prop data available for either side.
- No injuries confirmed for either side.
- Market implies Koper ~49%, draw ~27%, NSI ~29% — Koper as slight favourites aligns with form evidence.
- Goals market evenly split around 2.5 line; BTTS 'yes' priced at 1.73 suggests moderate expectation of both teams scoring, consistent with NSI failing to keep a clean sheet recently.
- API prediction is 33/33/33 (no data) — disregarded; manual form read favours Koper.
- Home advantage applies but NSI play in a lower-strength domestic league (Faroe Islands); Koper's Slovenian top-flight background provides quality edge.
Win probability
- NSI Runavik: 27%
- Draw: 26%
- Koper: 47%
Goals & scoring
- Over 2.5 goals: 52%
- Both teams to score: 56%
Recent form
NSI Runavik: WDDDW · Koper: WWLLW