Norway vs Senegal — AI prediction
Result
Norway 3-2 Senegal
Kick-off: 2026-06-23
Norway and Senegal meet at a neutral-venue World Cup group game, so home advantage is nominal despite Norway's nominal designation. Norway carry the better recent profile (WDWDL): a 4-1 win at Iraq, a 1-1 draw with Morocco, and a 3-1 win over Sweden, scoring 9 and conceding 5 in their last five. The headline asset is Erling Haaland, who already has 2 goals in 1 appearance in this dataset and is the clear focal point of their attack, supported by scoring threats Sorloth and Larsen. Senegal arrive in patchier form (LDLWW): a 1-3 loss at France and a 2-3 loss to USA show defensive frailty (7 conceded in last five), though wins over Gambia and Peru and a clean sheet against Saudi Arabia show they can compete. With Haaland in form and Senegal leaking goals, Norway look the marginally stronger side; the market's modest favouritism (home ~2.26) feels about right. No lineups, injuries or head-to-head data are provided, which limits certainty. Both teams have shown they score and concede, pointing toward an open, BTTS-leaning contest with goals.
Key factors
- Norway in solid form (9 GF in last 5) with Haaland already producing 2 goals
- Senegal defensively shaky, conceding 7 in last 5 including 3 to France and 3 to USA
- Senegal still capable going forward (Mane, Jackson) and recently kept a clean sheet vs Saudi Arabia
- Neutral venue removes meaningful home advantage
- No lineups, injuries or H2H data available - reduces confidence
Win probability
- Norway: 44%
- Draw: 27%
- Senegal: 29%
Goals markets
- Over 2.5 goals: 54%
- Both teams to score: 57%
Recent form
Norway: WDWDL · Senegal: LDLWW