Norway vs France — AI prediction

Result

Norway 1-4 France

Kick-off: 2026-06-26

France arrive as clear favourites and the form backs it: WWLWW in their last five, scoring 12 and beating Brazil and Colombia away as well as Senegal and Northern Ireland recently, averaging 14.8 shots and 59% possession. Deschamps fields a loaded XI with Mbappé (already 2 goals), Dembélé, Olise and Doué supporting, behind a strong back line of Koundé, Upamecano, Lacroix and Theo Hernández in front of Maignan. Norway have been solid but streaky (WDWDL), with a 3-1 win over Sweden and a 4-1 at Iraq, but also a 0-0 with Switzerland and a loss to the Netherlands; their attacking creation is more modest (10.6 shots, 3.4 on target). Notably, the published Norway XI led by Solbakken features Strand Larsen up top with Bobb, Aasgaard and Schjelderup — Erling Haaland is NOT in the listed start XI despite being their key scorer (2 goals), which materially weakens their attack if accurate. No injury data is provided for either side, and there is no head-to-head block. At a neutral-venue tournament the 'home' tag for Norway is nominal. France's quality and depth should carry the day; both teams scoring is plausible given Norway's threat through Strand Larsen/Bobb, and France's defence has conceded 6 in five.

Key factors

• France in strong form (WWLWW, 12 goals, wins over Brazil & Colombia away)
• France attacking volume: 14.8 shots, 59% possession, Mbappé 2 goals plus Dembélé/Olise/Doué
• Norway streaky (WDWDL) with weaker creation; Haaland absent from the listed start XI
• Neutral-venue tournament — Norway's home tag is nominal
• No injury or H2H data supplied; reasoning rests on form and lineups

Win probability

• Norway: 18%
• Draw: 22%
• France: 60%

Goals & scoring

• Both teams to score: 59%

Recent form

Norway: WDWDL · France: WWLWW