NK Varazdin vs FK Jablonec — AI prediction
Kick-off: 2026-07-23
NK Varaždin arrive in sparkling form — five straight wins, 10 goals scored and only 2 conceded — against a Jablonec side that has drawn two of its last five and shipped goals in three of those games. The home side's attacking momentum and defensive solidity are the decisive edge here, backed by a genuine home-venue advantage. The market slightly favours Jablonec (2.43 away vs 2.94 home) which looks like poor value given Varaždin's dominance in recent weeks.
Key factors
- Varaždin: WWWWW in last 5, 10 GF / 2 GA — dominant form heading into a competitive fixture.
- Jablonec: WWLDD in last 5, only 4 GF / 4 GA — inconsistent and leaky by comparison.
- No head-to-head data available; no confirmed injuries on either side.
- No player-level data (no lineups, no key players listed) — analysis is form-only.
- API prediction is blank (33/33/33) — no model signal available; form is the primary driver.
- Market odds imply ~41% for Jablonec win vs ~34% for Varaždin — appears to underrate home side's form.
- BTTS odds lean 'yes' (1.80) but Varaždin have been defensively tight (2 GA in 5 games), suggesting 'no' could have value.
- Total goals market sits around 2.5 line — Varaždin's recent margins (3-1, 2-0, 1-0) suggest moderate scoring.
- Corners line at 9.5 is near-even money — insufficient data to price with confidence.
Win probability
- NK Varazdin: 39%
- Draw: 27%
- FK Jablonec: 34%
Goals & scoring
- Over 2.5 goals: 49%
- Both teams to score: 47%
Recent form
NK Varazdin: WWWWW · FK Jablonec: WWLDD