Nashville SC vs CF Montreal — AI prediction
Result
Nashville SC 1-0 CF Montreal
Kick-off: 2026-07-23
Nashville sit 1st in the East with 11 wins, a +21 GD and 7 clean sheets from 15 games — the best defensive record in the conference. S. Surridge has 9 goals in just 9 appearances, and the H2H strongly favours Nashville at Geodis Park (5W-1L-4D all-time, including a 3-0 home win in March 2025). Montreal are 11th with 8 wins/draws from 15 and a -9 GD; their xG numbers are volatile and they concede freely (31 against all season).
Key factors
- Nashville 1st East, 11W-3D-1L, +21 GD, 7 clean sheets — dominant home record
- S. Surridge averaging 1 goal per 90 minutes across 9 appearances — elite form
- Montreal 4W-3D-8L on the season, conceded 31 goals; B. Hidalgo confirmed out (groin)
- H2H: Nashville 5W vs 1W for Montreal; 3-0 Nashville win last home fixture
- Nashville last-5: WWWWD, 11 goals for / 5 against; Montreal last-5: DWWDL, mixed quality
- W. Madrigal (Nashville) questionable — minor injury concern but squad depth is strong
- API prediction aligns: 67% Nashville composite edge; Poisson 79% home
- Market prices Nashville at ~1.52 (66% implied) — broadly fair, slight value on clean sheet-related markets
- Montreal allowed 31 season goals; Nashville under 1.5 goals against at home is plausible
Win probability
- Nashville SC: 63%
- Draw: 23%
- CF Montreal: 14%
Goals & scoring
- Both teams to score: 48%
Recent form
Nashville SC: WWWWD · CF Montreal: DWWDL
Standings
- Nashville SC: 1st in Eastern Conference, 36 pts
- CF Montreal: 11th in Eastern Conference, 15 pts
Head-to-head
Nashville SC 5 · CF Montreal 1 · 4 draws
- 2025-10-04: CF Montreal 1-1 Nashville SC
- 2025-03-23: Nashville SC 3-0 CF Montreal
- 2024-05-25: CF Montreal 0-0 Nashville SC
- 2024-05-05: Nashville SC 4-1 CF Montreal
- 2023-06-21: CF Montreal 1-0 Nashville SC