Nashville SC vs Atlanta United FC — AI prediction

Kick-off: 2026-07-18

Nashville top the East (33 pts, WWWDL, +20 GD) and host bottom-half Atlanta (14th, 11 pts, LLDLW, 9 losses in 14, -9 GD, only one clean sheet). The H2H favours Nashville (5-2-3), including a 2-0 away win in April 2026. Atlanta miss Latte Lath (illness) and Alzate, weakening an already leaky side conceding heavily. Home form and Surridge's threat make Nashville clear favourites, though Atlanta do create shots (17/game recently), keeping BTTS live.

Key factors

• Nashville 1st in East, WWWDL, +20 GD vs Atlanta 14th, LLDLW, -9 GD
• H2H 5-2-3 to Nashville; recent 2-0 away win in April 2026
• Atlanta out: Latte Lath (illness), Alzate (groin); Picault doubtful
• Atlanta concede heavily (23 GA in 14, 1 clean sheet) but generate shots (17/game)
• API model backs Nashville (45/45/10) with strong Poisson edge

Win probability

• Nashville SC: 63%
• Draw: 22%
• Atlanta United FC: 15%

Goals markets

• Over 2.5 goals: 55%
• Both teams to score: 53%

Recent form

Nashville SC: WWWDL · Atlanta United FC: LLDLW

Standings

• Nashville SC: 1st in Eastern Conference, 33 pts
• Atlanta United FC: 14th in Eastern Conference, 11 pts

Head-to-head

Nashville SC 5 · Atlanta United FC 2 · 3 draws

• 2026-04-18: Atlanta United FC 0-2 Nashville SC
• 2025-08-31: Nashville SC 0-1 Atlanta United FC
• 2025-05-03: Atlanta United FC 1-1 Nashville SC
• 2024-09-14: Atlanta United FC 0-2 Nashville SC
• 2024-05-18: Nashville SC 1-1 Atlanta United FC