Monza vs Sassuolo — AI prediction

Kick-off: 2026-09-18

Sassuolo are clear favourites in this early-season Serie A clash. Monza sit rock-bottom with just 1 point from 4 games and a -5 goal difference, having shipped 11 goals in their last five outings. Sassuolo, by contrast, occupy 9th place with 7 points and a +1 GD, and have won their last home match (3-2 v Juventus). Monza's last-5 record is LDWLL with thin recent stats (1.46 xG per game), while Sassuolo show WDDWL but positive momentum and better defensive structure. No lineup data is available, and Monza's only profiled key player is Gustavo Varela with 2 goals in 2 games—an isolated bright spot in a struggling side.

Key factors

• Monza 18th in Serie A, 1 point from 4 games; -5 GD and 11 goals conceded in last 5.
• Sassuolo 9th, 7 points; won 3-2 at home v Juventus in most recent outing.
• Monza last-5: LDWLL with 1.46 xG/game and low shots on target (5.33 recent avg); Sassuolo WDDWL with 1.44 xG but more consistent structure.
• Sassuolo possess a +1 GD and have scored 9 in 4 games; Monza have scored only 7 in 4.
• No confirmed injuries or lineup data; Gustavo Varela (2 goals in 2 apps) is Monza's only named key player.
• Early season form strongly favours the away side; Monza show structural fragility both offensively and defensively.

Win probability

• Monza: 0%
• Draw: 0%
• Sassuolo: 72%

Goals & scoring

• Over 2.5 goals: 65%
• Both teams to score: 62%

Recent form

Monza: LDWLL · Sassuolo: WDDWL

Standings

• Monza: 18th in Serie A, 1 pts
• Sassuolo: 9th in Serie A, 7 pts