ML Vitebsk vs Sutjeska — AI prediction
Kick-off: 2026-07-23
ML Vitebsk hold a clear edge here: they've won two of their last four and scored 7 goals in that run, while Sutjeska have lost all four recent fixtures, scoring just 2 and conceding 7. Sutjeska were eliminated by Kairat Almaty and lost domestically to Mornar and FK Sarajevo — a side in freefall. Vitebsk at home in a European qualifier against this level of opposition looks strong value, with the market pricing them as sizeable favourites.
Key factors
- Sutjeska last-5 form: LLLL, scoring only 2 and conceding 7 — worst form of both sides by distance.
- Vitebsk last-5: LLWW with 7 goals scored and two wins in their most recent competitive games.
- Sutjeska conceded 2-0 and 1-2 to Kairat Almaty across two legs, then lost to FK Sarajevo and Mornar — no wins across any competition.
- No injuries reported for either side; no lineups or H2H data available.
- API prediction is flat 33/33/33 — no model signal; market (1.75 home) reflects Vitebsk as clear favourites.
- Total goals market is split around 2.25–2.50; Sutjeska's attacking output (2 goals in 4 games) suggests a low-scoring match is plausible.
- Away team total under 1.0 (1.48) reflects market consensus that Sutjeska are unlikely to score.
Win probability
- ML Vitebsk: 54%
- Draw: 26%
- Sutjeska: 19%
Goals & scoring
- Over 2.5 goals: 46%
- Both teams to score: 44%
Recent form
ML Vitebsk: LLWW · Sutjeska: LLLL