Malaga vs Deportivo La Coruna — AI prediction

Result

Malaga 1-1 Deportivo La Coruna

Kick-off: 2026-08-24

Malaga arrive in dreadful early-season form—0 points from 1 La Liga game (0–2 v Atlético Madrid), conceding 2 and failing to score, with only 1 shot on target. Deportivo La Coruña, though also on 1 point, drew 1–1 with Elche and show marginally better attacking intent (P. Aubameyang on board, 1 goal in 1 appearance). Head-to-head is mixed (3 home wins, 2 away wins, 5 draws), but Malaga's recent league record is catastrophic: their last 5 pre-season outings were LDLWD and they've shipped 10 goals in 5 fixtures. Deportivo's last 5 read DLWDD and they look the sharper side entering this fixture. Home advantage at Estadio La Rosaleda offers modest support, but Malaga's form collapse and lack of attacking output make them vulnerable.

Key factors

  • Malaga: 0 pts from 1 La Liga match (0–2 v Atlético), 0 goals scored, 1 SOT in last game (xG 0.15).
  • Deportivo La Coruña: 1 pt from 1 match (1–1 v Elche), 1 goal scored, recent W v Genoa (1–0); P. Aubameyang on roster (1 goal in 1 app).
  • Last 5 pre-season: Malaga LDLWD (9 for, 10 against); Deportivo DLWDD (5 for, 5 against).
  • H2H: 3 home wins, 2 away wins, 5 draws. Most recent: 1–1 (Apr 2026); Malaga 3–0 win before that (Oct 2025).
  • API prediction: 45% draw, 45% Deportivo win, 10% Malaga win; advice favours Deportivo/draw combo.
  • Malaga's xG, possession (47%), and SOT tally suggest weak attacking threat; Deportivo fractionally more cohesive early on.

Win probability

  • Malaga: 24%
  • Draw: 41%
  • Deportivo La Coruna: 35%

Goals & scoring

  • Over 2.5 goals: 38%
  • Both teams to score: 45%

Recent form

Malaga: LDLWD · Deportivo La Coruna: DLWDD

Standings

  • Malaga: 19th in La Liga, 0 pts
  • Deportivo La Coruna: 10th in La Liga, 1 pts

Head-to-head

Malaga 3 · Deportivo La Coruna 2 · 5 draws

  • 2026-04-04: Deportivo La Coruna 1-1 Malaga
  • 2025-10-12: Malaga 3-0 Deportivo La Coruna
  • 2025-01-11: Malaga 1-1 Deportivo La Coruna
  • 2024-10-06: Deportivo La Coruna 0-0 Malaga
  • 2020-07-08: Malaga 1-0 Deportivo La Coruna

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