Lyon vs Auxerre — AI prediction

Result

Lyon 3-1 Auxerre

Kick-off: 2026-09-04

Lyon hold a commanding advantage: sitting 4th in Ligue 1 with 1W–1D (4 pts, +2 GD) after two matches, while Auxerre anchor last with 0W–2L (0 pts, −5 GD). The key issue is Auxerre's injury crisis — seven players confirmed missing (A. Diousse, S. Fofana, B. Okoh, M. Senaya, F. Sierralta, A. Tuanzebe, plus F. Oppegard questionable) — which decimates their defensive and midfield depth. Lyon's recent record is mixed (1W–2D–1L in last 5), including a 1–2 home loss to Fenerbahçe, but they field far superior squad depth and have dominated Auxerre in recent head-to-head (5W–2L–3D). Expect Lyon to exploit the absences and secure a dominant home win.

Key factors

• Auxerre worst in Ligue 1 (0 pts, −5 GD) with seven confirmed absentees; Lyon 4th with 4 pts and home advantage.
• Auxerre's defensive crisis: A. Diousse, B. Okoh, F. Sierralta, A. Tuanzebe all missing; S. Fofana (groin) unavailable.
• Lyon's head-to-head dominance: 5 wins, 2 losses, 3 draws; most recent meeting 3–2 Lyon win (April 2026).
• Lyon last 5: 2W–2D–1L; Auxerre last 5: 2W–0D–3L (forms diverging sharply).
• Bookmaker model favours Lyon at ~64.8% (API prediction), with advice double-chance Lyon/draw and +1.5 goals.
• J. Duranville questionable for Lyon (muscle injury) but not confirmed absentee; minimal impact on selection confidence.

Win probability

• Lyon: 67%
• Draw: 22%
• Auxerre: 11%

Goals & scoring

• Over 2.5 goals: 60%
• Both teams to score: 55%

Recent form

Lyon: DLWDW · Auxerre: LLWD

Standings

• Lyon: 4th in Ligue 1, 4 pts
• Auxerre: 18th in Ligue 1, 0 pts

Head-to-head

Lyon 5 · Auxerre 2 · 3 draws

• 2026-04-25: Lyon 3-2 Auxerre
• 2025-11-23: Auxerre 0-0 Lyon
• 2025-04-13: Auxerre 1-3 Lyon
• 2024-10-27: Lyon 2-2 Auxerre
• 2023-02-17: Auxerre 2-1 Lyon