Levski Sofia vs Universitatea Craiova — AI prediction
Result
Levski Sofia 1-0 Universitatea Craiova
Kick-off: 2026-07-22
Levski Sofia shows marginally stronger form (WWDWD vs WWDWW over last-5, 13 GF to 14) and plays at home with genuine venue advantage. Both teams are unbeaten this season (1W1D for Levski, 2W0D for Craiova), but Levski's defence is tighter (3 GA vs 5 GA) and they averaged 61% possession at home. The API model splits home/draw roughly equally at 35% each, with away at 30%; odds price home at ~50% implied (1.0 decimal from 2.0), mirroring this. Expected goals favour a moderate-scoring match (2.25–2.5 range); both defences are solid relative to their attacking output.
Key factors
- Levski unbeaten at home (last 5: W2D2), 13 goals for, 3 against; possession dominance (~61% avg).
- Craiova in strong form (4W1D in last 5, 2W0D season record) but only 2 matches played; away fixture is the unknown.
- Key Levski attackers: Reinaldo (2 goals in 2 apps), Perea (1 goal in 2), available; Craiova key players data unavailable.
- No injuries declared for either side.
- Neutral venue factor does not apply; standard home advantage for Levski.
- API prediction: 35% home, 35% draw, 30% away; advice is double chance (home or draw). Implied odds align with this split.
- Goal markets cluster around 2.25–2.5 totals; BTTS odds suggest ~48–52% probability.
- No recent head-to-head data available; this appears to be inaugural European competition fixture.
Win probability
- Levski Sofia: 43%
- Draw: 35%
- Universitatea Craiova: 23%
Goals & scoring
- Over 2.5 goals: 44%
- Both teams to score: 50%
Recent form
Levski Sofia: WWDWD · Universitatea Craiova: WWDWW