Legia Warszawa vs Radomiak Radom — AI prediction

Kick-off: 2026-08-14

Legia Warszawa are heavy favourites at home, with strong recent form (WWD in three league matches: 5–2 goals scored/conceded) and a decisive head-to-head record (6 wins, 2 losses, 1 draw). Radomiak Radom arrive in disarray—just 1 win in their last 5 (WLL in three games), conceding 7 in 3 matches, and have lost badly to Legia in three of their last four meetings (4–1, 3–1, 4–1). The bookmaker model agrees: Legia 45% to Radomiak's 10% (draw 45%). No significant injuries reported for either side. Legia should dominate.

Key factors

  • Legia's recent form sharp: 2 wins + 1 draw in last 3 league games (5 goals for, 2 conceded)
  • Radomiak collapsing: 1 win in last 5, 0 wins in last 3 league games (4 goals for, 7 conceded)
  • Head-to-head heavily favours Legia: 6 home/away wins vs Radomiak's 2; last four meetings all Legia victories (4–1, 1–0, 3–1, 4–1)
  • Legia's defensive solidity (78% defence rating vs Radomiak's 22%) compounds away side's attacking frailty (44% attack rating)
  • Home advantage at Stadion Wojska Polskiego; no reported injuries for either side
  • API prediction (Poisson 88% home) and bookmaker odds (1.57 for home win) aligned with on-pitch evidence

Win probability

  • Legia Warszawa: 62%
  • Draw: 24%
  • Radomiak Radom: 13%

Goals & scoring

  • Over 2.5 goals: 55%
  • Both teams to score: 46%

Recent form

Legia Warszawa: DWWLW · Radomiak Radom: DLLLW

Head-to-head

Legia Warszawa 6 · Radomiak Radom 2 · 1 draws

  • 2026-07-14: Legia Warszawa 3-1 Radomiak Radom
  • 2026-03-13: Radomiak Radom 1-1 Legia Warszawa
  • 2025-09-14: Legia Warszawa 4-1 Radomiak Radom
  • 2025-02-22: Radomiak Radom 3-1 Legia Warszawa
  • 2024-08-18: Legia Warszawa 4-1 Radomiak Radom

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