Lanus vs San Lorenzo — AI prediction
Kick-off: 2026-07-26
Lanus edges this Argentine Primera Division clash on the strength of a superior head-to-head record (6 wins vs 2 away) and a more cohesive recent run. San Lorenzo's last five (DLDDD) shows a side struggling to win, while Lanus posted WLWLL with a solid 2-0 win over Cienciano just three days ago. Both sides are evenly matched on squad value (€40.2m vs €43.1m), but Lanus' 7 clean sheets and better defensive metrics (63% vs 38%) offset San Lorenzo's slight attacking edge. The bookmaker model favours Lanus at 45%, and the home advantage at standard intensity provides an additional edge.
Key factors
- Lanus unbeaten at home in recent fixtures; San Lorenzo winless in last 5 (DLDDD)
- Head-to-head heavily favours Lanus (6 wins, 2 losses across recent meetings); won 2-3 at San Lorenzo in Jan 2026
- Lanus 7 clean sheets vs San Lorenzo 9 in season; but Lanus defence stronger (63% vs 38% in model)
- D. Aquino (5 goals, 1 assist in 13 apps) Lanus' main attacking outlet; no key San Lorenzo players listed
- San Lorenzo dominated possession in recent games (54–78%) but converted poorly; Lanus more clinical
- Both sides at similar league standing (Lanus 6th, San Lorenzo 7th); no major injuries confirmed
- Bookmaker model advises Lanus or draw with under 3.5 goals; low-scoring pattern fits
Win probability
- Lanus: 45%
- Draw: 36%
- San Lorenzo: 19%
Recent form
Lanus: WLWLL · San Lorenzo: DLDDD
Standings
- Lanus: 6th in Apertura - Group A, 24 pts
- San Lorenzo: 7th in Apertura - Group A, 22 pts
Head-to-head
Lanus 6 · San Lorenzo 2 · 2 draws
- 2026-01-23: San Lorenzo 2-3 Lanus
- 2025-10-05: Lanus 2-1 San Lorenzo
- 2025-03-28: San Lorenzo 1-1 Lanus
- 2024-05-20: San Lorenzo 1-1 Lanus
- 2024-01-27: San Lorenzo 0-2 Lanus