Kairat Almaty vs Levski Sofia — AI prediction

Result

Kairat Almaty 0-1 Levski Sofia

Kick-off: 2026-08-11

Levski Sofia dominates the objective strength signal: UEFA coefficient 4.5 vs Kairat's 11.0 favours Kairat, but Kairat's league rank (37th) trails Levski's (28th), and crucially Levski's recent form is vastly superior—4 wins in last 5 (10 goals, 3 conceded, 3 clean sheets, zero losses this season) versus Kairat's mixed 2-2 in last 5 (3 goals, 3 conceded, including a 1-0 home loss to Levski just 7 days ago). Reinaldo (2 goals in 5 appearances) leads Levski's attack. The head-to-head edge and attacking momentum tip decisively away. Kairat's coefficient advantage reflects historical legacy, not current strength; Levski is the sharper, in-form side. Away odds (2.78) undervalue the visitor.

Key factors

• Levski unbeaten in last 5 (4W-1D), 10 GF / 3 GA, three clean sheets; Kairat 2-2 in last 5, 3 GF / 3 GA, including 1-0 loss to Levski on 2026-08-04
• UEFA country rank: Levski 28th (Bulgaria) vs Kairat 37th (Kazakhstan) — Kairat's higher club coefficient (11.0) reflects legacy, not current-season form
• Levski 1-0 up in recent head-to-head (2026-08-04, away), establishing psychological edge before home return
• Reinaldo in-form (2 goals in 5 appearances); Kairat's home scoring drought (1 goal in last two home fixtures)
• Early Champions League regular phase: both sides relatively fresh, but Levski's 4-game winning streak and zero losses this season outweigh Kairat's home-ground advantage

Win probability

• Kairat Almaty: 31%
• Draw: 28%
• Levski Sofia: 41%

Goals & scoring

• Over 2.5 goals: 51%
• Both teams to score: 51%

Recent form

Kairat Almaty: LWWL · Levski Sofia: WWWDW

Head-to-head

Kairat Almaty 0 · Levski Sofia 1 · 0 draws

• 2026-08-04: Levski Sofia 1-0 Kairat Almaty