Ivory Coast vs Norway — AI prediction

Result

Ivory Coast 1-2 Norway

Kick-off: 2026-06-30

Norway look the more dangerous side: their attack is humming with 12 goals in their last five and an excellent 2.14 recent xG, and Haaland already has 4 goals in 2 appearances. Ivory Coast are in solid form (WLWWW, beat France 2-1) but score modestly (1.35 xG) and have leaned on tight, low-scoring wins. Norway's defence is shaky (9 conceded), so I lean away with goals likely. The bookmaker model's 45/45/10 read overweights the Ivorians' defence given Norway's clearly superior attacking output.

Key factors

• Norway attack: 12 goals last 5, 2.14 recent xG, 13.2 shots/game vs Ivory Coast's 1.35 xG and 9.5 shots
• Haaland 4 goals in 2 apps; Sorloth and Odegaard add quality to the front line
• Norway defence leaky (9 conceded last 5) — supports BTTS and over
• Ivory Coast form strong (WLWWW incl. wins over France and Ecuador) but goals scored are limited and reliant on clean sheets
• Neutral venue — home advantage nominal
• API model favours Ivory Coast/draw but appears to overrate their defence relative to Norway's superior attacking numbers

Win probability

• Ivory Coast: 29%
• Draw: 28%
• Norway: 43%

Goals & scoring

• Over 2.5 goals: 52%
• Both teams to score: 57%

Recent form

Ivory Coast: WLWWW · Norway: LWWDW

Standings

• Ivory Coast: 2nd in Group E, 6 pts
• Norway: 2nd in Group I, 6 pts