Inter vs Udinese — AI prediction

Result

Inter 5-3 Udinese

Kick-off: 2026-09-14

Inter dominate at home with 3 wins from 3 Serie A matches this season (8 goals, 3 conceded) and hold a commanding 8-2 head-to-head record vs Udinese. Udinese arrive significantly weakened: five confirmed absentees (Arizala, Palma, Piotrowski, Solet, Zaniolo) plus another questionable (Zanoli), hobbling their squad depth. Inter's recent form is sharper (69% vs 31% on the API model), their attack and defence both outclass Udinese (62% and 63% vs 38%), and Lautaro and Çalhanoğlu are in form. Udinese show fragility away and lack cutting edge (1.32 xG in last 5). Inter should win decisively.

Key factors

• Inter are 3-0 in Serie A this season at home, 8 goals for, 3 against.
• Udinese missing five key players (Arizala, Palma, Piotrowski, Solet, Zaniolo) due to injury; severely depleted squad.
• Inter lead 8-2 vs Udinese in recent head-to-head; dominance evident.
• Lautaro Martínez and Hakan Çalhanoğlu each with 2 goals in 3 appearances; in form.
• Udinese's last 5: 1.32 xG average, low shot volume (13 per match); attacking threat minimal.
• API prediction: Inter 67% overall, Udinese 33.2%; Form advantage 69% vs 31%.
• Inter's recent xG per game (2.6) vs Udinese (1.32) indicates significant quality gap in attacking play.

Win probability

• Inter: 77%
• Draw: 16%
• Udinese: 7%

Goals & scoring

• Over 2.5 goals: 62%
• Both teams to score: 55%

Recent form

Inter: LWWWW · Udinese: LWWDW

Standings

• Inter: 3rd in Serie A, 9 pts
• Udinese: 13th in Serie A, 4 pts

Head-to-head

Inter 8 · Udinese 2 · 0 draws

• 2026-01-17: Udinese 0-1 Inter
• 2025-08-31: Inter 1-2 Udinese
• 2025-03-30: Inter 2-1 Udinese
• 2024-12-19: Inter 2-0 Udinese
• 2024-09-28: Udinese 2-3 Inter