Ilves vs FC Differdange 03 — AI prediction

Result

Ilves 3-1 FC Differdange 03

Kick-off: 2026-07-16

This is the second leg after a 0-0 first leg. The market makes Ilves clear favourites (1.50) at home, yet the on-pitch evidence favours the visitors: Differdange are unbeaten in their last five (DWWDW), scoring 9 and conceding just 3, while Ilves have lost three of five and shipped 10 goals. The pricing looks driven by home advantage more than form, so we lean toward a tighter contest than the odds imply and see value in the draw/away side.

Key factors

• Differdange in strong form (3W 2D last 5), 9 GF vs 3 GA
• Ilves shaky: 3 losses in last 5, 10 goals conceded
• First leg finished 0-0 — sides evenly matched head-to-head
• Home odds (1.50) look short given form disparity
• No lineups or key-player/injury data available

Win probability

• Ilves: 53%
• Draw: 27%
• FC Differdange 03: 20%

Goals & scoring

• Over 2.5 goals: 55%
• Both teams to score: 52%

Recent form

Ilves: DLLDL · FC Differdange 03: DWWDW

Head-to-head

Ilves 0 · FC Differdange 03 0 · 1 draws

• 2026-07-08: FC Differdange 03 0-0 Ilves