Heart Of Midlothian vs Sturm Graz — AI prediction

Result

Heart Of Midlothian 0-2 Sturm Graz

Kick-off: 2026-07-28

Sturm Graz arrives with superior form: last 5 reads WWWDL with 14 goals scored across 5 recent matches, versus Hearts' WWLLW and just 9 goals. Hearts' season record is dire (1 played, 0 wins, 0–4 loss to what appears to be an early-season opponent), while Sturm opened with a 4–0 clean-sheet win. The api_prediction model backs Sturm (50% draw, 50% away win; zero home %), citing form, attack, defence, H2H and goals all in Sturm's favour. Hearts' last domestic outing was a 2–1 win over Rayo, but context suggests pre-season. On balance, Sturm Graz are the clear favourites.

Key factors

• Sturm Graz last 5: WWWDL, 14 goals scored; Hearts: WWLLW, 9 goals scored
• Hearts' season record: 1 played, 0–4 loss; Sturm: 1 played, 4–0 win with clean sheet
• API model consensus: all form/attack/defence/H2H metrics favour Sturm (100% for away)
• No injuries reported for either side; lineups unavailable
• Hearts play at home (Tynecastle) but form disparity is decisive; Sturm in better rhythm

Win probability

• Heart Of Midlothian: 15%
• Draw: 30%
• Sturm Graz: 55%

Goals & scoring

• Over 2.5 goals: 62%
• Both teams to score: 50%

Recent form

Heart Of Midlothian: WWLLW · Sturm Graz: WWWDL