Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Ludogorets — AI prediction

Result

Hapoel Tel Aviv 2-0 Ludogorets

Kick-off: 2026-07-23

Ludogorets arrive in better recent form — three consecutive 1-0 wins over domestic and continental opposition, conceding just twice in four games — while Hapoel Tel Aviv have drawn three of their last five, leaking goals freely (8F/6A). Ludogorets' defensive solidity (three clean sheets in last four) is the standout edge; their low-scoring victories suggest this is a tight, under-2.5-goals affair. The market has this close to a coin-flip at 2.43 away, but Ludogorets' defensive structure and momentum justify a modest lean on them to qualify/win.

Key factors

• Ludogorets won their last 3 games all 1-0, keeping 3 clean sheets — strong defensive block.
• Hapoel Tel Aviv drew 3 of last 5, including 0-0 and 2-2 scorelines — inconsistent attack, porous defence.
• All 5 Hapoel recent results were AWAY; this is nominally a home fixture for them but played at a neutral venue (DVTK Stadion, Hungary).
• No head-to-head data available; no key player data or injury absences reported.
• API prediction offers no model data (33/33/33 split) — market odds are the only external reference.
• Low-scoring pattern for both sides: Ludogorets average 1.25 goals/game scored, Hapoel 1.6 but conceding 1.2/game.
• Goals O/U market centred around 2.0-2.25 line — under 2.5 strongly supported by both teams' recent output.
• BTTS 'No' at 1.75 aligns with Ludogorets' three clean-sheet run.

Win probability

• Hapoel Tel Aviv: 27%
• Draw: 31%
• Ludogorets: 42%

Goals & scoring

• Over 2.5 goals: 39%
• Both teams to score: 42%

Recent form

Hapoel Tel Aviv: DDWWD · Ludogorets: WWWD