Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Ludogorets — AI prediction
Kick-off: 2026-07-23
Ludogorets arrive in better recent form — three consecutive 1-0 wins over domestic and continental opposition, conceding just twice in four games — while Hapoel Tel Aviv have drawn three of their last five, leaking goals freely (8F/6A). Ludogorets' defensive solidity (three clean sheets in last four) is the standout edge; their low-scoring victories suggest this is a tight, under-2.5-goals affair. The market has this close to a coin-flip at 2.43 away, but Ludogorets' defensive structure and momentum justify a modest lean on them to qualify/win.
Key factors
- Ludogorets won their last 3 games all 1-0, keeping 3 clean sheets — strong defensive block.
- Hapoel Tel Aviv drew 3 of last 5, including 0-0 and 2-2 scorelines — inconsistent attack, porous defence.
- All 5 Hapoel recent results were AWAY; this is nominally a home fixture for them but played at a neutral venue (DVTK Stadion, Hungary).
- No head-to-head data available; no key player data or injury absences reported.
- API prediction offers no model data (33/33/33 split) — market odds are the only external reference.
- Low-scoring pattern for both sides: Ludogorets average 1.25 goals/game scored, Hapoel 1.6 but conceding 1.2/game.
- Goals O/U market centred around 2.0-2.25 line — under 2.5 strongly supported by both teams' recent output.
- BTTS 'No' at 1.75 aligns with Ludogorets' three clean-sheet run.
Win probability
- Hapoel Tel Aviv: 27%
- Draw: 31%
- Ludogorets: 42%
Goals & scoring
- Over 2.5 goals: 39%
- Both teams to score: 42%
Recent form
Hapoel Tel Aviv: DDWWD · Ludogorets: WWWD