Hapoel Beer Sheva vs FK Crvena Zvezda — AI prediction

Kick-off: 2026-08-04

FK Crvena Zvezda arrives with dominant recent form: four consecutive wins, 17 goals in their last five matches, and a +16 goal differential compared to Hapoel Beer Sheva's 1W–3L–1D record and -3 differential. Crvena Zvezda's UEFA coefficient (44.0) and Serbian league rank (30th of 55) substantially exceed Beer Sheva's (14.0, rank 25th)—a decisive edge in club strength. Beer Sheva has conceded 10 goals in five games and shown defensive fragility; Crvena Zvezda's latest opponent faced 27 shots and 9 on-target in a 5–0 rout. Back Crvena Zvezda to win.

Key factors

• Crvena Zvezda: 4 consecutive wins, 17 goals in last 5, +16 GD; Beer Sheva: 1W–3L–1D, +1 GD in same span.
• Crvena Zvezda UEFA coefficient 44.0 vs Beer Sheva 14.0; Serbian league rank 30 vs Israeli rank 25—clear structural advantage.
• Beer Sheva conceded 10 goals in 5 matches; Crvena Zvezda limiting opponents to 1 goal in last 5 (dominant defensive form).
• Crvena Zvezda averaging 27 shots, 9 on-target per recent match (xG 3.93); overwhelming possession (69%) and control.
• This is a UEFA Champions League regular-stage fixture; both sides already in group phase or equivalent, not early qualifying—reduced uncertainty vs. preliminary rounds.

Win probability

• Hapoel Beer Sheva: 17%
• Draw: 21%
• FK Crvena Zvezda: 62%

Goals & scoring

• Over 2.5 goals: 60%
• Both teams to score: 47%

Recent form

Hapoel Beer Sheva: WLLLD · FK Crvena Zvezda: WWWW