Hangzhou Greentown vs Dalian Zhixing — AI prediction

Result

Hangzhou Greentown 3-2 Dalian Zhixing

Kick-off: 2026-07-26

Dalian Zhixing arrive as clear favourites despite playing away, supported by dominant head-to-head (2 wins, 1 draw vs Hangzhou Greentown) and superior recent form: away side won 2 of last 4 with stronger shot conversion (8.0 SOT per game vs Hangzhou's 4.0), while Hangzhou have lost 2 of 5 and sit 5 points below Dalian in the league. The API model rates away at 45%, yet bookmaker odds (1.94 home, 4.10 away) suggest undervaluation of the visitor. BTTS looks attractive given both teams' attacking credentials and defensive frailties (Hangzhou -5 GD, Dalian -4 GD); recent matches show consistent goal flow.

Key factors

• Head-to-head: Dalian 2 wins, 1 draw in last 3 meetings; most recent 3-0 away win (Apr 2026)
• Form: Dalian won 2 of last 4 games; Hangzhou 1-2-2 in last 5 with 2 losses
• Attack: Dalian C. Malele (8 goals in 14 apps) and F. Acheampong (6 goals, 4 assists in 18 apps) vs Hangzhou Wang Yudong (7 goals in 19 apps)
• Defence: Hangzhou 3 clean sheets in 19 games; Dalian 5 in 18 but conceding pattern mirrors poor defending
• League position: Dalian 3rd (28 pts, -4 GD); Hangzhou 8th (21 pts, -5 GD)
• No injuries reported for either side
• Possession/SOT: Dalian averaging 17.7 shots (8 on target) in last 3; Hangzhou 11.5 shots (4 on target) in last 4
• API prediction: Dalian 45% win, 45% draw; H2H comparison heavily favours away (88% vs 13%)

Win probability

• Hangzhou Greentown: 32%
• Draw: 28%
• Dalian Zhixing: 40%

Goals & scoring

• Both teams to score: 63%

Recent form

Hangzhou Greentown: DWLLD · Dalian Zhixing: DWWL

Standings

• Hangzhou Greentown: 8th in Chinese Super League, 21 pts
• Dalian Zhixing: 3rd in Chinese Super League, 28 pts

Head-to-head

Hangzhou Greentown 0 · Dalian Zhixing 2 · 1 draws

• 2026-04-10: Dalian Zhixing 3-0 Hangzhou Greentown
• 2025-06-30: Dalian Zhixing 1-0 Hangzhou Greentown
• 2025-02-23: Hangzhou Greentown 1-1 Dalian Zhixing