GKS Katowice vs Hapoel Tel Aviv — AI prediction

Result

GKS Katowice 2-1 Hapoel Tel Aviv

Kick-off: 2026-08-12

Hapoel Tel Aviv won the first leg 2-0 away six days ago and enters the second leg on strong form (WDWDD last-5, 2 wins in 3 this season, +4 GD, 2 clean sheets). GKS Katowice's UEFA coefficient (0.75 vs 0.0) and higher country rank (11 vs 25) offer structural support, but they arrive weakened: 1 win in 3 (L to Hapoel, L to Wisla, only 1 goal in last fixture), zero clean sheets, -1 GD this season, and severely undershot Hapoel (2 shots on target vs 6 in the H2H). The home-leg return offers some respite, yet Katowice's recent defensive fragility and attacking struggle make them vulnerable. Hapoel's clean-sheet record and clinical finishing (6 goals in 3 games vs Katowice's 4) tilt the edge away.

Key factors

• Hapoel won first leg 2-0 away on 2026-08-06; only 6 days before rematch
• GKS Katowice: LWWL form, 1W-2L this season, 0 clean sheets, -1 GD; just lost 0-2 to Hapoel with only 2 SOT
• Hapoel Tel Aviv: WDWDD form, 2W-0L this season, +4 GD, 2 clean sheets, 6 SOT in H2H vs Katowice's 2
• UEFA coefficient favours Katowice (0.75 vs 0.0) and country rank (11 vs 25 of 55), but on-pitch evidence contradicts: Hapoel is sharper and more clinical
• API prediction model gives Hapoel 45% draw-or-win (57.8% total), citing superior form, attack, defence, H2H and goals; Katowice only 42.3%
• Lineups unavailable; no injury data provided; calibration: Europa Conference regular stage, not a volatile early-stage tie, but Hapoel's clear edge over one leg and immediate rematch context makes outcome less than certain

Win probability

• GKS Katowice: 33%
• Draw: 28%
• Hapoel Tel Aviv: 39%

Goals & scoring

• Over 2.5 goals: 42%
• Both teams to score: 47%

Recent form

GKS Katowice: LWWL · Hapoel Tel Aviv: WDWDD

Head-to-head

GKS Katowice 0 · Hapoel Tel Aviv 1 · 0 draws

• 2026-08-06: Hapoel Tel Aviv 2-0 GKS Katowice