Getafe vs Celta Vigo — AI prediction

Result

Getafe 1-1 Celta Vigo

Kick-off: 2026-09-07

Getafe are marginal home favourites but both sides are in poor form: Getafe sit 15th with 3 points from 3 games (LLWWL last-5), Celta Vigo 17th with 2 points from 4. Getafe's recent record shows defensive instability (conceded 7 in last 5, xG 0.72), while Celta have scored just once in their last four games and failed to score in three of four. The bookmaker model leans Getafe/draw at 45% each, versus 10% away; form data (60% home vs 40% away) supports modest home edge. With both sides struggling to break down opponents, low-goal outcomes and draws are more likely than either side winning convincingly.

Key factors

• Getafe 15th (3pts/3gm), Celta Vigo 17th (2pts/4gm)—both significantly underperforming and leaky defensively.
• Getafe last-5: LLWWL (5 scored, 7 conceded); Celta last-5: DLLDD (2 scored, 5 conceded)—defensive fragility across both, especially Getafe.
• Celta have failed to score in 3 of their last 4 La Liga matches (1 goal across 4 games)—severe attacking drought.
• Getafe xG 0.72 over last 5 matches, Celta xG 0.52 over last 4—both below-par shot quality and chance creation.
• No injury data provided; lineups unavailable (match is 5 days away).
• Bookmaker advice: 'Combo Double chance Getafe or draw and -3.5 goals'—suggesting low-scoring contest.
• API prediction: 45% Getafe, 45% draw, 10% Celta; home form edge (60% vs 40%) but both teams fragile.

Win probability

• Getafe: 39%
• Draw: 41%
• Celta Vigo: 20%

Recent form

Getafe: LLWWL · Celta Vigo: DLLDD

Standings

• Getafe: 15th in La Liga, 3 pts
• Celta Vigo: 17th in La Liga, 2 pts