Result

Genoa 1-1 Frosinone

Kick-off: 2026-09-12

Frosinone enters this Serie A fixture in a far stronger position than Genoa. Frosinone's last-5 is WDWLW with 11 goals scored and 5 conceded, and sits 7th in the table with 6 points from 3 games; Genoa are pointless at the bottom with LLLWL form and a -6 goal difference. Frosinone's recent wins over Fiorentina (3-0) and Venezia (3-2) show clinical finishing, while Genoa have conceded 9 goals in just 4 recent outings and only beat a non-league side (Ascoli). Genoa are missing defenders E. Havel and L. Venturino to injury, worsening a leaky defence. A. Raimondo (2 goals in 2 apps) and G. Bracaglia (1 goal, 1 assist) provide proven attacking depth for Frosinone. The API bookmaker model flags Frosinone at 68% overall and 45% win probability, though it hedges with draw at 45%. Home advantage alone cannot overcome this stark form and personnel gap.

Key factors

Genoa 0 points, bottom of table, 0–3–0 record; Frosinone 6 points, 7th place, 2–0–1 record.

Genoa last-5 LLLWL (5 goals for, 9 against); Frosinone WDWLW (11 for, 5 against).

Genoa missing defenders E. Havel (ankle) and L. Venturino (knee); defensive frailty confirmed by recent defeats to Como (1-4), Napoli (0-2), Lazio (0-1).

Frosinone's A. Raimondo (2 goals in 2 appearances) and G. Bracaglia (1 goal, 1 assist) in form; Genoa's shot-on-target rate in recent games just 2.9 per match.

Recent H2H: Frosinone won 2–1 (2023-11) and 3–2 (2023-05) as away side; draws and Genoa wins in older fixtures, but recent trend favours Frosinone.

Home advantage nominal given the gap; Frosinone's possession and shot efficiency (7 shots on target in 4 recent games) outstrip Genoa's (3.75 per game).

Match Oracle — AI football predictions and match analysis.

Genoa vs Frosinone — AI prediction

Result

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