Genoa vs Como — AI prediction

Result

Genoa 1-4 Como

Kick-off: 2026-09-04

Como arrive in fine form (WDDDW) and sit 6th in the table after 2 games with 4 points, having just won at Napoli 2–1. Genoa are in severe trouble: 17th place, 0 points from 2 matches (0–3 in league play), with 0 goals scored in league fixtures and conceding 3. In pre-season, Genoa lost 0–1 to Lazio and 0–2 to Napoli; their only win came against lower-league Ascoli. Como's recent away record against strong opposition (draws with Liverpool and Arsenal, win at Napoli) demonstrates resilience; Genoa have failed to score in both league games. Home advantage at Ferraris is thin compensation when form, goals, and league position favour Como so decisively.

Key factors

• Genoa: 0 goals in 2 Serie A games, 0 points; Como: 4 points, 2–1 win v Napoli most recently.
• Genoa's last 5: LLWLL (win v Ascoli only; losses to Lazio, Napoli, Bournemouth 1–10, La Coruña); Como's last 5: WDDDW (draws v Liverpool, Arsenal, Udinese; wins at Napoli and Famalicao).
• Goal differential: Genoa −3 (0 for, 3 against in league); Como +1 in recent fixtures (7 for, 5 against).
• Shots on target: Genoa averaged 1.5 per game (matches v Lazio, Napoli); Como won away at Napoli with attacking intent.
• No injuries reported for either side; lineups unavailable but form gap is decisive.
• Genoa at home offer modest defensive structure but zero attacking threat in league play; odds (away 1.80) underestimate Como's form advantage.

Win probability

• Genoa: 19%
• Draw: 26%
• Como: 55%

Goals & scoring

• Over 2.5 goals: 42%
• Both teams to score: 41%

Recent form

Genoa: LLWLL · Como: WDDDW

Standings

• Genoa: 17th in Serie A, 0 pts
• Como: 6th in Serie A, 4 pts