France vs Sweden — AI prediction

Result

France 3-0 Sweden

Kick-off: 2026-06-30

France are clear favourites: top of Group I with 9 points, a +8 GD and 14 goals scored, riding WWWW with a 4-1 win over Norway and a strong attack led by Mbappé (4 goals) and Dembélé (4). Sweden limp in on DLWDL, conceding 12 in five including 1-5 to the Netherlands and 1-3 to Norway, with a weak 0.99 xG average. France's stronger XI and superior defence (78% comparison) point to a comfortable home win, though Isak and Gyökeres give Sweden enough threat to make BTTS live.

Key factors

• France WWWW form, +8 GD, 14 goals; Sweden leaking heavily (12 conceded in 5)
• Mbappé 4 goals/2 assists and Dembélé 4 goals lead a deep France attack
• Sweden's xG only 0.99 vs France's 1.92 over last 5
• Sweden's front three (Isak, Gyökeres, Elanga) keep BTTS plausible
• Neutral venue; H2H France 3-2 with last meeting 4-2 France

Win probability

• France: 77%
• Draw: 15%
• Sweden: 8%

Goals & scoring

• Both teams to score: 54%

Recent form

France: WWWWL · Sweden: DLWDL

Standings

• France: 1st in Group I, 9 pts
• Sweden: 3rd in Group F, 4 pts

Head-to-head

France 3 · Sweden 2 · 0 draws

• 2020-11-17: France 4-2 Sweden
• 2020-09-05: Sweden 0-1 France
• 2017-06-09: Sweden 2-1 France
• 2016-11-11: France 2-1 Sweden
• 2012-06-19: Sweden 2-0 France