France vs Morocco — AI prediction

Result

France 2-0 Morocco

Kick-off: 2026-07-09

France arrive in scorching form — WWWWW with 14 scored and just 2 conceded, averaging 2.12 xG and elite defensive numbers. Mbappé (7 goals) leads a deep attack that beat Sweden 3-0 and Norway 4-1. Morocco are solid but lower-ceiling (10 for, 4 against, 1.67 xG) and drew twice against Brazil and the Netherlands. Combined with France's 2-0 win in the 2022 meeting, Les Bleus are strong favourites; the market's 1.61 fairly reflects that, so the value lies more in France covering and their team total.

Key factors

• France perfect last-5 (WWWWW), +12 goal difference, only 2 conceded
• Mbappé 7 goals/2 assists, Dembélé 4 goals — multiple in-form scorers
• France recent xG 2.12 vs Morocco 1.67; France defence rated 67% by model
• Morocco reliant on Saibari (3 goals); drew vs Brazil and Netherlands showing lower attacking output
• H2H: France won 2-0 in 2022; api_prediction favours France but flags draw risk
• No injuries reported for either side

Win probability

• France: 61%
• Draw: 26%
• Morocco: 13%

Goals & scoring

• Over 2.5 goals: 52%
• Both teams to score: 47%

Recent form

France: WWWWW · Morocco: WDWWD

Standings

• France: 1st in Group I, 9 pts
• Morocco: 2nd in Group C, 7 pts

Head-to-head

France 1 · Morocco 0 · 0 draws

• 2022-12-14: France 2-0 Morocco