France vs Iraq — AI prediction

Result

France 3-0 Iraq

Kick-off: 2026-06-22

France enter as overwhelming favourites against Iraq in this World Cup group game. Deschamps' side are in strong form (WWLWW), scoring 12 and conceding 6 across their last five, including impressive away wins over Brazil (2-1) and Colombia (3-1) plus a 3-1 home win over Senegal. The published XI is loaded with elite talent: Mbappé (2 goals in his last appearance) leads the line behind Olise, Dembélé and Barcola, with a settled back four of Koundé, Upamecano, Saliba and Digne shielding Maignan. Iraq, under Graham Arnold in a 4-2-3-1, have shown defensive frailty — shipping four to Norway and two to Venezuela in their last two outings, conceding 8 while scoring just 5 in their last five (LLDWW). The gulf in individual quality is vast, and France should dominate possession and chances. The market prices France at 1.12 with the away win a remote 31.0, reflecting a likely comfortable, multi-goal home win. Expect France to score freely while Iraq struggle to create against a strong French defence — BTTS 'no' is well supported at 1.50. No head-to-head or injury data was provided, so reads rest on form and lineup quality.

Key factors

• France in good form (WWLWW) with marquee wins away to Brazil and Colombia
• Mbappé, Dembélé, Olise and Barcola provide elite attacking firepower
• Iraq leaking goals: conceded 4 v Norway and 2 v Venezuela in last two games
• Huge quality gap reflected in market (France 1.12, Iraq 31.0)
• Iraq likely to be camped in defence, low scoring threat (away team total under 1.0 at 1.07)

Win probability

• France: 90%
• Draw: 7%
• Iraq: 3%

Goals & scoring

• Both teams to score: 34%

Recent form

France: WWLWW · Iraq: LLDWW