France vs England — AI prediction

Result

France 4-6 England

Kick-off: 2026-07-18

France carry the sharper attacking form, unbeaten across their last four with a +8 group differential and Mbappé firing (8 goals in 6). Their 3-0, 4-1 and 2-0 wins show high xG output (1.66 recent), while England have won on tighter margins (2-1, 3-2) leaning on Bellingham and Kane. Both defences leak (France 3 against, England 4), and with two elite front lines BTTS looks likely. France edge it, but England's winning habit keeps this close — a narrow home lean over a market that rates them near even.

Key factors

• France last5 LWWWW, +8 GD, 10 goals for; Mbappé 8 goals, Dembélé 5
• England last5 WWWWD, top-scorers Bellingham & Kane on 6 each
• Both sides concede regularly (FRA 3, ENG 4 against) — BTTS value
• H2H: France 2 wins, 1 draw, no England wins in last 3 meetings
• Neutral-venue knockout: home edge nominal; settles on 90 mins
• No injuries listed for either side

Win probability

• France: 46%
• Draw: 27%
• England: 27%

Goals & scoring

• Both teams to score: 63%

Recent form

France: LWWWW · England: WWWWD

Standings

• France: 1st in Group I, 9 pts
• England: 1st in Group L, 7 pts

Head-to-head

France 2 · England 0 · 1 draws

• 2022-12-10: England 1-2 France
• 2017-06-13: France 3-2 England
• 2012-06-11: France 1-1 England