Flora Tallinn vs The New Saints — AI prediction

Result

Flora Tallinn 1-0 The New Saints

Kick-off: 2026-07-23

Flora Tallinn enter this tie in mixed form (LDLWW, 10 goals for but 8 against in 5 games), while TNS arrive having lost their last two competitive matches to Sabah FA (0-2, 1-2), scoring just 5 and conceding 6 across five games. Flora's home advantage at A. Le Coq Arena is a real factor here, and the market's near-even split (Flora ~44%, TNS ~35%) looks slightly generous to TNS given their recent collapse. With both sides leaky at the back, BTTS at short odds looks well-supported by the evidence.

Key factors

• Flora Tallinn last-5: LDLWW, 10 goals scored, 8 conceded — high-scoring but defensively inconsistent.
• TNS last-5: LLWDW, lost both most recent matches to Sabah FA (aggregate 1-4) — form dipping sharply.
• No H2H data available.
• No lineups, injury lists, or key player data provided for either side.
• API prediction returns 33/33/33 — no model data available; market odds used as primary reference.
• TNS recent stats (1 game sample): 10 shots, 4 on target, only 3 corners, 46% possession — not dominant.
• Both sides' defensive fragility strongly supports BTTS (yes priced at 1.62 by William Hill).
• Flora playing at home in Estonia — standard home advantage applies.
• Odds imply: Flora ~43.9%, Draw ~27.9%, TNS ~34.7% — Flora slight favourites.

Win probability

• Flora Tallinn: 42%
• Draw: 27%
• The New Saints: 31%

Goals & scoring

• Over 2.5 goals: 55%
• Both teams to score: 59%

Recent form

Flora Tallinn: LDLWW · The New Saints: LLWDW