FK Jablonec vs NK Varazdin — AI prediction
Kick-off: 2026-07-30
NK Varazdin arrives as a clear favourite: they've won their last five fixtures and defeated Jablonec 3–2 just seven days ago on the road, scoring 12 goals in five games. Jablonec's recent form is mixed (WLWWL) and they lost their last outing; the UEFA coefficient gap (5.0 vs 1.5) and Czech league ranking (10th vs Croatia's 23rd) favour the home side nominally, but form and momentum decisively favour the away team. The 1x2 odds (1.64 home, 4.55 away) are tight to the bookmaker model (50–50 draw/away, 0% home), and the head-to-head tally (1 away win, 0 home) reinforces Varazdin's edge. Back the away team.
Key factors
- NK Varazdin: 5 consecutive wins, 12 goals in 5 games, beat Jablonec 3–2 on 2026-07-23.
- FK Jablonec: mixed form (WLWWL), 0–1 season record, lost last outing vs Sigma Olomouc (despite 2–1 result in context, seasonStats show L).
- Head-to-head: Varazdin 1–0 vs Jablonec in recent meeting.
- UEFA coefficient 5.0 (Jablonec) vs 1.5 (Varazdin), but form and momentum heavily favour away side.
- No injuries reported for either side.
- Early Europa Conference League fixture; Varazdin sharper, Jablonec season-starting and less cohesive.
Win probability
- FK Jablonec: 39%
- Draw: 20%
- NK Varazdin: 41%
Goals & scoring
- Over 2.5 goals: 60%
- Both teams to score: 61%
Recent form
FK Jablonec: WLWWL · NK Varazdin: WWWWW
Head-to-head
FK Jablonec 0 · NK Varazdin 1 · 0 draws
- 2026-07-23: NK Varazdin 3-2 FK Jablonec