Everton vs Crystal Palace — AI prediction
Kick-off: 2026-08-22
Everton's recent pre-season form (DWLWL over five friendlies, 7 goals for, 7 against) is mixed but shows attacking intent. Crystal Palace counter with LWWDL, conceding 8 in five games—a defensive concern. Everton enjoy strong home advantage at Hill Dickinson and a decisive head-to-head edge (6 wins, 0 losses, 4 draws). However, Everton are missing three midfielders (Garner, Iroegbunam, Norgaard to injury), which weakens their engine; Palace's Henderson is only questionable. This is the very start of the 2026 Premier League season—both sides have zero competitive league minutes—making current-season form unreliable. The API model heavily weights H2H (85% home) and is confident in Everton, but with so little actual league data and notable Everton absences, we moderate the home edge to a solid but not dominant read.
Key factors
- Everton strong in H2H (6W, 0L, 4D vs Palace) and home record supports favourable odds at 2.14.
- Everton midfield depleted: Garner, Iroegbunam, Norgaard all out; Palace only have Henderson questionable.
- Season start (0 games played for both): pre-season form is noisy; Everton 1 W, 2 L, 2 D in last 5 friendlies.
- Crystal Palace defensive fragility in pre-season (8 goals conceded in 5); Everton scored 7 in same span.
- API prediction (50% home, 50% draw, 0% away) reflects H2H dominance but lacks competitive-season data; treat as reference, not truth.
Win probability
- Everton: 49%
- Draw: 31%
- Crystal Palace: 20%
Goals & scoring
- Over 2.5 goals: 52%
- Both teams to score: 53%
Recent form
Everton: DWLWL · Crystal Palace: LWWDL
Standings
- Everton: 4th in Premier League, 0 pts
- Crystal Palace: 13th in Premier League, 0 pts
Head-to-head
Everton 6 · Crystal Palace 0 · 4 draws
- 2026-05-10: Crystal Palace 2-2 Everton
- 2025-10-05: Everton 2-1 Crystal Palace
- 2025-02-15: Crystal Palace 1-2 Everton
- 2024-09-28: Everton 2-1 Crystal Palace
- 2024-02-19: Everton 1-1 Crystal Palace